Selivanova, Iuliia
  
(2023)
Advanced representation of the ocean/sea ice dynamics at high latitudes, [Dissertation thesis], Alma Mater Studiorum Università di Bologna. 
 Dottorato di ricerca in 
Il futuro della terra, cambiamenti climatici e sfide sociali, 35 Ciclo. DOI 10.48676/unibo/amsdottorato/11072.
  
 
  
  
        
        
        
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
    
  
    
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      Abstract
      Sea ice is a fundamental element of global climate system, with numerous impacts on the polar environment. The ongoing drastic changes in the Earth’s sea ice cover highlight the necessity of monitoring the polar regions and systematically evaluating the quality of different numerical products. The main objective of this thesis is to improve our knowledge of the representation of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice using comprehensive global ocean reanalyses and coupled climate models. The dissertation will explore (i) the Antarctic marginal ice zone (MIZ) and pack ice area in the ensemble mean of four global ocean reanalyses called GREP; (ii) historical representation of the Arctic and Antarctic sea ice state in HighResMIP models; (iii) the future evolution of Arctic sea ice in HighResMIP models. Global ocean reanalyses and GREP are found to adequately capture interannual and seasonal variability in both pack ice and MIZ areas at hemispheric and regional scales. The advantage of the ensemble-mean approach is proved as GREP smooths the strengths and weaknesses of single systems and provides the most consistent and reliable estimates. This work is intended to encourage the use of GREP in a wide range of applications. The analysis of sea ice representation in the coupled climate models shows no systematic impact of the increased horizontal resolution. We argue that a few minor improvements in sea ice representation with the enhanced horizontal resolution are presumably not worth the major effort of costly computations. The thesis highlights the critical importance to distinguish the MIZ from consolidated pack ice both for investigating changes in sea ice distribution and evaluating the product’s performance. Considering that the MIZ is predicted to dominate the Arctic sea ice cover, the model physics parameterizations and sea ice rheology might require modifications. The results of the work can be useful for modelling community.
     
    
      Abstract
      Sea ice is a fundamental element of global climate system, with numerous impacts on the polar environment. The ongoing drastic changes in the Earth’s sea ice cover highlight the necessity of monitoring the polar regions and systematically evaluating the quality of different numerical products. The main objective of this thesis is to improve our knowledge of the representation of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice using comprehensive global ocean reanalyses and coupled climate models. The dissertation will explore (i) the Antarctic marginal ice zone (MIZ) and pack ice area in the ensemble mean of four global ocean reanalyses called GREP; (ii) historical representation of the Arctic and Antarctic sea ice state in HighResMIP models; (iii) the future evolution of Arctic sea ice in HighResMIP models. Global ocean reanalyses and GREP are found to adequately capture interannual and seasonal variability in both pack ice and MIZ areas at hemispheric and regional scales. The advantage of the ensemble-mean approach is proved as GREP smooths the strengths and weaknesses of single systems and provides the most consistent and reliable estimates. This work is intended to encourage the use of GREP in a wide range of applications. The analysis of sea ice representation in the coupled climate models shows no systematic impact of the increased horizontal resolution. We argue that a few minor improvements in sea ice representation with the enhanced horizontal resolution are presumably not worth the major effort of costly computations. The thesis highlights the critical importance to distinguish the MIZ from consolidated pack ice both for investigating changes in sea ice distribution and evaluating the product’s performance. Considering that the MIZ is predicted to dominate the Arctic sea ice cover, the model physics parameterizations and sea ice rheology might require modifications. The results of the work can be useful for modelling community.
     
  
  
    
    
      Tipologia del documento
      Tesi di dottorato
      
      
      
      
        
      
        
          Autore
          Selivanova, Iuliia
          
        
      
        
          Supervisore
          
          
        
      
        
          Co-supervisore
          
          
        
      
        
          Dottorato di ricerca
          
          
        
      
        
      
        
          Ciclo
          35
          
        
      
        
          Coordinatore
          
          
        
      
        
          Settore disciplinare
          
          
        
      
        
          Settore concorsuale
          
          
        
      
        
          Parole chiave
          sea ice, coupled climate models, global ocean reanalyses
          
        
      
        
          URN:NBN
          
          
        
      
        
          DOI
          10.48676/unibo/amsdottorato/11072
          
        
      
        
          Data di discussione
          21 Giugno 2023
          
        
      
      URI
      
      
     
   
  
    Altri metadati
    
      Tipologia del documento
      Tesi di dottorato
      
      
      
      
        
      
        
          Autore
          Selivanova, Iuliia
          
        
      
        
          Supervisore
          
          
        
      
        
          Co-supervisore
          
          
        
      
        
          Dottorato di ricerca
          
          
        
      
        
      
        
          Ciclo
          35
          
        
      
        
          Coordinatore
          
          
        
      
        
          Settore disciplinare
          
          
        
      
        
          Settore concorsuale
          
          
        
      
        
          Parole chiave
          sea ice, coupled climate models, global ocean reanalyses
          
        
      
        
          URN:NBN
          
          
        
      
        
          DOI
          10.48676/unibo/amsdottorato/11072
          
        
      
        
          Data di discussione
          21 Giugno 2023
          
        
      
      URI
      
      
     
   
  
  
  
  
  
    
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